Donald Trump speaks from the Oval Office from a White House video dated January 13, 2021.

Source: The White House

According to a new poll by NBC News, voters are largely partisan over whether to remove President Donald Trump from office.

Nearly 9 out of 10 Democrats say Trump, who was indicted by the House of Representatives on Wednesday, should be sentenced by the Senate. Less than one in ten Republicans say the same thing.

Overall, roughly 50% of Americans say Trump should be removed while 48% oppose it, a gap within the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

Independents narrowly oppose removing Trump from office, with 45% support and 53% against.

The poll was conducted between January 10th and January 13th when more information about the January 6th uprising in Washington emerged. It was asked if respondents believe Trump should be charged and removed based on “what you saw, read or heard about Donald Trump and the events at the US Capitol last week”.

Trump is unlikely to be sentenced to removal in time, although other sanctions could be imposed on him.

President-elect Joe Biden will be inaugurated on January 20, and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has suggested that there will be no trial before the change in administration.

While that schedule means it’s too late to remove Trump from office for impeachment, it is possible that the Senate will ban him from taking office again.

Trump is the first president to be tried twice, and he is the first to be tried in the Senate after leaving office.

House Democrats indicted Trump in late 2019 after pressuring Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy to investigate Biden and his family. He was acquitted by the GOP-controlled Senate last year.

The current impeachment to start the Washington insurrection has gained more bipartisan support among the House legislatures. Ten Republicans joined the Democrats – the final vote was between 232 and 197 – while there were none at the first impeachment.

Senator Mitt Romney, R-Utah, was the only Republican to vote in favor of condemning Trump during his impeachment last year. No Republicans have said they will condemn Trump this time, despite the fact that McConnell is said to back the impeachment and several GOP senators have urged the president to step down.

The conviction requires 67 votes in the Senate, which means 17 Republicans would have to join each Democrat on the 100-member congressional body. Democrats will have 50 members after Georgia’s Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock are sworn in by the end of the month.

Voters are roughly equally distributed over the current impeachment as over the first. A December 2019 poll by NBC News / Wall Street Journal found that 48% of voters were in favor of Trump’s impeachment and deportation, while 48% were against.

The numbers reflect the general stickiness of Trump’s popularity, which has remained essentially constant throughout his four-year tenure. Experts have linked persistence with political polarization.

“While some elected Republican officials have broken with Trump, Republican voters are sticking with him for now,” Hart Research Associates ‘Jeff Horwitt, who co-conducted the poll with Public Opinion Strategies’ Bill McInturff, told NBC News. Horwitt is a Democrat and McInturff is a Republican.

“As we have seen in the course of his tenure, one major event after the other does little to shake Trump’s reputation among the Republicans,” said Horwitt.

The poll found a similar gap on whether the Washington uprising heralds more violence. When asked whether the attack was an isolated event or the “beginning of a sharp increase in violent political protests”, 45% said they were isolated and 49% said it was the beginning of a more violent period.

Fifty-nine percent of Democrats said the event marked the beginning of a more violent period, compared to just 36 percent of Republicans.

A majority of voters, 57%, also said the attack on the Capitol was an act of terrorism. 48% said they strongly believe this. This question was followed by party politics, with 90% of Democrats and only 27% of Republicans referring to the event as terrorism.

The survey was conducted among 1,000 registered voters, 590 of whom were only reached by cell phone, and shows an error rate of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

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